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Weekly Financial Report
With Scott Roulston of Fairport Asset Management

Friday, February 22, 2002

Scott Roulston, CEO of Fairport Asset Management, discusses the resignation this week of TRW's CEO who departs for a post at Honeywell, the firing this week of four Lehman Brothers Cleveland employees related to the misdoings of Frank Gruttadauria, the bid closing this week for the assets of LTV steel, and the addition of nearly completed downtown hotel to an already overbuilt lodging market.

April Baer–This week found players in the steel business doing some shopping in Cleveland. LTV Corp. took bids for its inactive steel factories. Thousands of former LTV workers who have been unemployed since the company went bankrupt last year are keeping watch. As Northeast Ohioans enjoyed mild temperatures, the Securities and Exchange Commission turned up the heat on Frank Gruttadauria, the stockbroker who went on the lam last month and then later turned himself in. Hundreds of thousands of his clients' dollars are missing and more changes have been filed by the SEC. Also, we have had a changing of the guard in one of Cleveland's industrial pillars. Joining us to talk about these stories and the rest of the week's business news, Scott Roulston of Fairport Asset Management. Scott, good morning.

Scott Roulston–Good morning April.

AB–This week, TRW CEO David Cote surprised Cleveland by announcing his resignation. It looks like he's going to take a job at Honeywell. What do we know about the shape that TRW is in?

SR–, first of all, is highly leveraged. They have 70% debt-to-capital ration. They are still digesting a big acquisition that they made in the automotive business - the Lucas Varity acquisition that was actually done on Joe Gorman's watch, Dave Cote's predecessor. So the company right now has an uncertainty of how they are going to pay down this debt and can they (well, they probably can anywhere in the short-term) get into the more rapidly growing defense business, as opposed to being saddled with the automotive business, which is perceived as being slower growing and not quite as exciting.

AB–Joe Gorman, where are you now? Is this the kind of opportune moment for the retired chairman to step back in?

SR–I don't know about that, but the situation with Cote really doesn't pass the "smell test", as one person said to me yesterday. It's a little odd that he would leave after only being in the chairman slot for 7 months. I think that also impinges his ability to hold onto executives at Honeywell. I mean, how is he going to get those folks to hold on when he could be accused of job-hopping? I would imagine that the board and the management at TRW isn't too happy right now with Mr. Cote.

AB–Scott, this week Lehman Brothers brokerage fired four people that the company claims shared at least some responsibility for the misdoings for Frank Gruttadauria. As we mentioned, it looks like the government is really starting to crack down on Gruttadauria. They claim that he has stolen millions from clients. Do you think that this is going to be the end of the firings?

SR–Related to Gruttadauria, I would think so. I mean, I don't know anything inside as far as what is going on with the investigation. But I've talked to a couple of people over at the Lehman office. They tell me that the future of the office is somewhat uncertain, but I think anybody who had anything to do with Frank is out of there - at least, in the Cleveland office.

AB–Let's talk for a minute about the LTV auction. Bids were taken on Wednesday. We'll probably get some more word next week about who has been accepted. Now local politicians have been saying loudly and to anyone who will listen that they want responsible tenants in LTV's old facilities. What do you think the chances are that whichever party buys LTV's works will be able to provide jobs for everyone who became unemployed when LTV went under?

SR–Highly unlikely that all those folks are going to be re-employed. And it depends on just how many can't be re-employed, in terms of what scenarios play out. My sources tell me that the West-side mill is probably gone and people who were employed there or that portion of the employment pool, probably not. The Brazilians are the most likely buyers over there and they would move the operations out. They basically take the equipment and move it out of state. On the Eastside, there are a lot of different players - US Steel, Cleveland Cliffs, the Chinese. The key thing to keep in mind here is what President Bush does somewhere around March 8 - 15th, because he is going to have that "201 ruling" on the dumping. If he puts in a quota on slabs, then the Eastside mill can make money. Whatever the politicians tell you, that mill has to make money in order for somebody to really put some money in and invest in it.

AB–It's been a few months since downtown Cleveland welcomed a few new luxury hotels as their neighbors. There's the Hyatt at the Arcade, of course. The Windham is a relatively new outfit. And now I notice that Hilton going up across from the Jake looks like it's getting pretty close to finished. If one were just looking at the construction of hotels in Cleveland, it would seem that business is booming. But is that a fact?

SR–Not in Cleveland. I don't think the hotel business is doing well nationally nor is it in Cleveland. You really have two different situations going on here, April. Nationally you see companies - Boykin Lodging reported earnings and they are starting to see a rebound nationally. And what's going on nationally is that 2002 is going to be flat to slightly down. The pipeline is shrinking because banks aren't loaning on new hotels. 2003 will probably be pretty good. Cleveland is a lousy market for hotels. It's overbuilt. They have too much supply and some of these that have come on are going to have a difficult time, especially when you look at the convention calendar, which is pretty weak for this year, so there are not going to be a lot of trade groups coming in and filling those hotels.

AB–Scott, thank you so much.

SR–You're welcome. Have a good weekend.

AB–Scott Roulston of Fairport Asset Management. He talks to us every Friday about the week's business news.


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